UFC236 Betting Tips & Plays
View the MMABETMACHINE bets for UFC236 below:
Israel Adesanya Breakdown
Adesanya comes into this battle with plenty of benefits over the much smaller Gastelum, who’s giving up almost 9 inches of reach. On the feet it is the technical accumulation strategy of Adesanya which can give him a substantial edge. He has a far more varied arsenal with effective leg kicks a strong option against Kelvin, that will need to stay explosive to have any hope closing the distance that is striking. Defensively Adesanya is sound, rolling with punches rather than committing himself to be vulnerable to counter shots. He is a slow starter but turns up the quantity when he’s a stronger feel for his opponent.
Gastelum has quickly boxing combinations and has used this to evaluate some impressive finishes. The quality of Kelvin’s opposition is questionable with lots of elderly fighters crumbling after getting captured by his superior speed or cardio. Gastelum has a wrestling foundation but has not made that a focus of his UFC run. In this battle the size and takedown defense of Adesanya must mean this remains standing. Kelvin has limited paths to success beyond landing a flush KO shot and given the reach and defense of Adesanya that does look improbable.
Since going around Middleweight Gastelum has managed to be impressive regardless of his height and reach. Weidman revealed us that size can be a large factor where the elderly fighters of this division were not able to press the advantage. Adesanya ought to be able to control this fight to stay position, where he is going to be able to style on Gastelum out of range. Round you can be close but past that it’s going to be one way traffic. A late finish or comfy decision appear equally likely.Dustin Poirier Breakdown
These men clash in what should be an extremely competitive fight. Both men prefer their striking with Holloway’s volume fashion taking on Poirier’s technical principles together with astonishing power. The public seem to be over Holloway following his impressive Ortega triumph and the bookie has him lined a substantial favourite. While his boxing and boxing is unmatched at 145lb, it could be a different story here. Poirier hits very hard, with considerably more power than anything Max might have undergone in recent times. If there was a weakness Holloway’s match it’s that he takes too many blank shots, and there’s no reason a clear one from Poirier can not end the fight.
This battle is likely to start off at Poirier’s favour as he lands the more impacting shots and uses his reach advantage. Holloway will need to survive until the later rounds in an effort to overwhelm Poirier with his cardio and pace. Dustin is no slouch in this area and is very hard to put away himself. We see this as an early stoppage for Poirier or near decision headed to the judges. The middle rounds will be pivotal in deciding the winner. At +180 the value is apparent, back the dangerous fighter who has firmly established himself along with the toughest division in the game.
Bet = Poirier in 2.80 (+180) chances. Risk 4 Units to acquire 7.2 Units.
Eryk Anders Breakdown
Rountree is a dangerous striker, both fast and powerful, although his one dimensional gameplan makes him quite beatable. Of most concern is that his gas tank that’s quickly depleted as he spams power shots . Furthermore his wrestling and grappling is well below average. Rountree is coming off a big KO loss to Johnny Walker.
Anders is quite durable and has a fundamental but dangerous striking design himself. The trick to victory will be his exceptional pressure as he can blend in takedowns to wear Rountree out, negating his power. Rountree is stuck at the bottom of the rankings in contrast to Anders who lately had competitive match with the name challenger Santos. Start looking for him to survive a few early temptations to then implement his wrestling and then take over the struggle past round one.
Bet = Anders at 1.54 (-185) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 1.62 Units.
Alan Jouban Breakdown
Jouban comes into this battle with much more expertise but also a 5??? reach drawback. Grant is 34 years of age and unlikely to make massive strides in his entire game. He does not appear very impressive with sloppy technique but does have large power to land the kill shot. Jouban’s durability is a concern but he is the far superior fighter. Start looking for him to bring a wise game-plan to this one and utilize his superior arsenal to outside attack Grant. Jouban has sneaky electricity himself but a choice is also likely. .
Bet = Jouban in 2.0 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.0 Units.
Max Griffin Breakdown
Imadaev is very unproven and at just 24 years old has been winning against inferior resistance on the regional scene. He looks to be getting a great deal of respect from the chances makers, possibly because of his Russian background. This is a large step up against Max Griffin who is a tough UFC veteran. He brings strong boxing and power and can blend from the odd takedown when demanded. Griffin’s question mark is certainly his strength, as he gets rocked in the majority of fights, but he’s a fighters mentality for coming back from adversity. Imadaev could be the real deal in which case that is likely to be an action packed affair. Otherwise look for Griffin to ship the inexperienced rookie. At slight underdog chances we enjoy a wager on the more proven fighter.
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